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open lake forecast for lake ontario
national weather service buffalo ny
402 pm est mon feb 16 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake ontario

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...a weak trough will move east across the lake tonight. a 
30.1 inch ridge will then build over the lower great lakes tuesday. 
an elongated 29.4 inch low will then stretch from minnesota to the 
central great lakes wednesday, with one piece of this low passing 
just south of the lake wednesday night. another 29.3 inch low will 
develop over the central plains thursday, then move to the central 
great lakes by friday night, then weaken to 29.7 inches as it moves 
just north of lake ontario saturday.


loz062-063-170400-
lake ontario open waters from the niagara river to sodus bay-
402 pm est mon feb 16 2026

.tonight...southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. a chance
of rain through the early overnight. waves 1 to 3 feet. 
.tuesday...west winds 5 to 15 knots. waves 1 to 3 feet. 
.tuesday night...west winds 10 knots or less becoming east and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots overnight. rain showers likely with
a chance of snow showers overnight. waves 1 foot or less building
to 1 to 3 feet. 
.wednesday...east winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northeast. rain
and freezing rain in the morning, then rain, snow and freezing
rain in the afternoon. waves 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet.
waves occasionally around 10 feet. 
.wednesday night...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. snow, rain and
freezing rain in the evening, then a chance of snow overnight.
waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. waves occasionally
around 9 feet. 
.thursday...northeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming east. a
chance of rain and snow thursday night. waves 2 to 4 feet
building to 5 to 8 feet. waves occasionally around 10 feet. 
.friday...east winds to 30 knots becoming northeast and
diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. rain and snow. waves 6 to 10 feet
subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. waves occasionally around 13 feet. 
.saturday...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. a chance of snow and rain during the day, then a chance
of snow saturday night. waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to
4 feet. 

$$

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open lake forecast for lake ontario
national weather service buffalo ny
402 pm est mon feb 16 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake ontario

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...a weak trough will move east across the lake tonight. a 
30.1 inch ridge will then build over the lower great lakes tuesday. 
an elongated 29.4 inch low will then stretch from minnesota to the 
central great lakes wednesday, with one piece of this low passing 
just south of the lake wednesday night. another 29.3 inch low will 
develop over the central plains thursday, then move to the central 
great lakes by friday night, then weaken to 29.7 inches as it moves 
just north of lake ontario saturday.


loz064-065-170400-
lake ontario open waters from sodus bay to the saint lawrence
river-
402 pm est mon feb 16 2026

.tonight...south winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. patchy
fog after midnight. a chance of rain and freezing rain after
midnight. a chance of rain late. waves 2 feet or less. 
.tuesday...west winds 5 to 15 knots. patchy fog in the morning.
waves 2 feet or less. 
.tuesday night...southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east.
waves 1 foot or less. 
.wednesday...northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. snow, freezing rain and rain. waves 1 to 3 feet
building to 2 to 4 feet. 
.wednesday night...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. snow and rain
in the evening, then snow likely overnight. waves 2 to 4 feet. 
.thursday...northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to
20 knots. a chance of snow thursday night. waves 1 to 3 feet. 
.friday...east winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northeast. snow and
rain. waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. 
.saturday...northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. a chance of snow. waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to
3 feet. 

$$

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open lake forecast for lake erie
national weather service cleveland oh
325 pm est mon feb 16 2026

for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.synopsis...
a trough averaging 30.00 inches will push east, moving a
cold front southeast which will settle as a stationary front near
the southern lakeshore tonight. low pressure 29.30 inches will
move through the upper midwest on wednesday, pushing that
stationary boundary north as a warm front. another low pressure
29.40 inches will move into the region late thursday, with a cold
front sweeping east on friday and a trough averaging 29.70 inches
lingering into saturday.


lez061-166>169-170330-
ripley to buffalo ny extending from 5nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-
avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the-
lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border-geneva-on-
the-lake to conneaut oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-
conneaut oh to ripley ny beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us-
canadian border-
325 pm est mon feb 16 2026

.tonight...south winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. a
slight chance of rain from late evening on. the lake is mostly
ice covered.
.tuesday...southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. patchy
fog. 
.tuesday night...east winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast.
rain likely overnight. 
.wednesday...southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest.
rain.
.wednesday night...west winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to
15 knots. 
.thursday...east winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. a chance of rain thursday night. 
.friday...southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. a
chance of rain during the day, then a chance of rain and snow
friday night. 
.saturday...west winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. 

waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.

$$