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nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
436 am edt mon mar 16 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz042-161500-
niagara river to hamlin beach along lake ontario-
436 am edt mon mar 16 2026

...small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
...gale warning in effect from this afternoon through tuesday
morning...

.today...southeast winds to 30 knots becoming southwest. rain
showers likely. rain and snow showers likely late. waves 3 to
5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. waves occasionally around
10 feet. 
.tonight...southwest gales to 35 knots becoming west. snow
showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight.
waves 7 to 10 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. waves occasionally
around 16 feet. 
.tuesday...west gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. a
chance of snow showers. waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 8 to
11 feet. waves occasionally around 18 feet. 
.tuesday night...west winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots. a chance of snow showers. waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet. waves occasionally around 13 feet. 
.wednesday...southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. a
chance of snow showers wednesday night. waves 1 to 3 feet. 
.thursday...southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. a chance of rain showers. waves 1 to 3 feet. 
.friday...west winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. a chance
of rain showers during the day, then a chance of rain and snow
showers friday night. waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
waves occasionally around 6 feet. 

$$
fzus51 kbuf 160836
nshbuf
expires:202603161500;;771713

nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
436 am edt mon mar 16 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz043-044-161500-
hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario
including irondequoit bay-
436 am edt mon mar 16 2026

...small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
...gale warning in effect from this evening through tuesday
evening...

.today...southeast gales to 35 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 15 to 25 knots this afternoon. rain showers early
this afternoon. rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms late.
waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. waves occasionally
around 9 feet. 
.tonight...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. snow showers, rain showers
with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then snow showers
likely overnight. waves 5 to 8 feet building to 10 to 14 feet.
waves occasionally around 18 feet. 
.tuesday...west gales to 40 knots diminishing to 35 knots. a
chance of snow showers in the morning, then lake effect snow
showers in the afternoon. waves 13 to 18 feet subsiding to 12 to
16 feet. waves occasionally around 23 feet. 
.tuesday night...west winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to
20 knots. lake effect snow showers. waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding
to 4 to 7 feet. waves occasionally around 18 feet. 
.wednesday...west winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. snow showers likely during the day. waves 2 to 4 feet
subsiding to 2 feet or less. 
.thursday...south winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to
20 knots. a chance of rain showers. waves 2 feet or less building
to 3 to 5 feet. waves occasionally around 6 feet. 
.friday...west winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. a chance
of rain showers. waves 3 to 5 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. waves
occasionally around 7 feet. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

the water temperature off rochester is 37 degrees.

$$
fzus51 kbuf 160836
nshbuf
expires:202603161500;;771714

nearshore marine forecast
national weather service buffalo ny
436 am edt mon mar 16 2026

for waters within five nautical miles of shore

waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.


loz045-161500-
mexico bay to the saint lawrence river along lake ontario-
436 am edt mon mar 16 2026

...small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
...gale warning in effect from this evening through tuesday
evening...

.today...southeast gales to 40 knots becoming southwest and
diminishing to 15 to 25 knots this afternoon. a chance of rain
showers early. rain showers likely early this afternoon, then
rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms late. waves in ice
free areas 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. waves in ice
free areas occasionally around 11 feet. 
.tonight...west winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and
increasing to 40 knot gales. rain showers, snow showers with a
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then snow showers
overnight. visibility one quarter mile or less at times
overnight. waves 4 to 7 feet building to 11 to 15 feet. waves
occasionally around 19 feet. 
.tuesday...southwest gales to 40 knots becoming west to 35 knots.
lake effect snow showers. visibility one quarter mile or less at
times. waves 12 to 17 feet subsiding to 11 to 15 feet. waves
occasionally around 22 feet. 
.tuesday night...west gales to 35 knots becoming northwest and
diminishing to 10 to 15 knots overnight. snow showers likely in
the evening. waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. waves
occasionally around 18 feet. 
.wednesday...northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to
20 knots. partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy. waves 2 to
4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. 
.thursday...south winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. a
chance of snow and rain showers during the day, then a chance of
rain showers thursday night. waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to
4 feet. 
.friday...west winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast. a chance
of rain and snow showers. waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to
4 feet. waves occasionally around 6 feet. 

winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms.

wave heights are for ice free areas.

$$
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